What your report looks like
Here's an excerpt. Your full report adds the fragility analysis, downside reality, and what would need to be true for the deal to work.
Your verdict
Cash flow's thin or slightly negative. This deal lives or dies on hitting your occupancy and rate assumptions. A weak year? You're stressed. Only proceed if you've got reserves and can tolerate 6–12 months of break-even.
Income reality—how it actually performs
Strong year: Peak demand, limited competition, 70–75% occupancy. Don't bank on this. It's not typical.
Typical year: Seasonality. Vacancy gaps. Rate pressure. Most owners see 50–60% occupancy over the full year.
Weak year: Occupancy drops into the 40s. Rates get cut. Cash flow goes negative. Recovery? 12–24 months.
Where buyers go wrong on costs
• Fixed vs variable — Mortgage and tax don't budge. Revenue does. A 10% occupancy drop can wipe months of thin profit.
• Turnover — Every stay: cleaning, restocking, coordination. Self-manage? Saves money, costs time.
• CapEx creep — Roof, HVAC, appliances age. Plan for ongoing replacement. Not one-time.
Full report adds the one assumption that could kill the deal, what a bad year feels like, and what would need to be true for this to work.
Run your deal — $49